Market Report, "Indonesia Power Report Q3 2012", Published

Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Indonesia Power Report Q3 2012", is now available at Fast Market Research

by Bill Thompson

(WireNews+Co) - Boston, MA - 19 October 2012

BMI View: Thermal power generation will remain the most dominant form of electricity generation in the country, with coal comprising the lion's share due to Indonesia's vast coal reserves. Renewables will also play a role with geothermal energy expected to become a key domestic growth area. There is huge hydro potential but only a limited development programme. Investment will have to meet government targets if Indonesia is to avoid a steady rise in power import dependency.

Indonesia is moving slowly ahead with controversial plans to build its first nuclear power plant. Several schemes exist at the preliminary planning stage, but there is little evidence to suggest plant start-up during the current decade. The government says it has a total of US$8bn earmarked for four nuclear plants, which are intended to generate 6 gigawatts (GW) of power by 2025. There is no expectation of electricity production from nuclear power over our forecast period.

View Full Report Details and Table of Contents (http://www.fastmr.com/prod/451284_indonesia_power_report_q3_2012.aspx) (http://www.fastmr.com/prod/451284_indonesia_power_report_q3_2012.aspx)

Key trends and recent developments in the Indonesian electricity market include:

- Industry reports suggest that Indonesia holds up to 76GW of hydropower potential, but the country has yet to embark on the large hydro-electric programmes seen elsewhere in the Asia Pacific region. The capital costs involved have most likely deterred investors, who prefer to stick with conventional thermal schemes or embrace geothermal supply.
- We expect Indonesian power generation to reach 184.2 terawatt hours (TWh) in 2012, up 8.0% on the previous year. Thermal generation is expected to have risen by 8.13% year-on-year (y-oy) thanks largely to an assumed 9.54% increase in coal-fired power. Oil-fired and gas-fired generation are expected to register growth of 6.35% and 7.5%, respectively.
- During the period 2012-2021, Indonesia's overall power generation is expected to increase by an average of 7.32% y-o-y, reaching 348TWh. Driving this growth are average annual gains of about 7.73% in coal-fired and 13.9% in non-hydro renewables generation, augmenting average increases of about 5.55% and 7.35% in the use of oil- and gas-fired electricity supply respectively.
- Indonesia is adding about 10,000MW of standing electrical capacity generation to support strong domestic economic growth, with around 60% of capacity expected to be online in 2012. PLN currently controls 28.3 megawatts (MW) of installed generating capacity, or about 85% of the country's total.

Fast Market Research (http://www.fastmr.com) is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. Representing the world's top research publishers and analysts, we provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available. Our unbiased, expert staff will help you find the right research to fit your requirements and your budget. For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at http://www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.