Recent Study: China Mining Report Q2 2013

New Materials research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research

by Bill Thompson

(WireNews+Co) - Boston, MA - 27 February 2013

As 2013 ushers in the third year of China's 12th Five-Year Plan (2011-2015), we expect the changes and reforms enacted in 2012 to continue. In a bid to curb overcapacity and reduce environmental pollution, the government plans to close smaller and less efficient mines, while mid-sized miners will be merged and production consolidated into giant vertically integrated state-owned outfits. Overall, we forecast China's mining industry value to increase from approximately US$321bn in 2011 to reach US$448bn by 2017, a healthy growth rate of 5.7% a year.

The small production losses that will inevitably occur as smaller mines are closed will give way to production gains down the road due to the efficiency gains of bigger, more integrated mining companies. This comes as industry-wide energy efficiency and consolidation measures continue in 2013 as part of China's Five-Year Plan, improving efficiency and boosting productivity across the industry.

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We expect increasing tax burdens on the Chinese mining industry as part of the plan. Indeed, China's twicedelayed resource tax was implemented nationwide on November 1 2011. In February 2012 additional taxes were imposed on the mining of tin, iron ore and other minor metals. Significant progress has been made in the crackdown on illegal mining, with the government pledging to do more to improve safety. There is an increasing emphasis on the negative environmental impact of mining activities, with the imposition of an environmental tax on certain industries and the introduction of a 'green standard' for the rare earths sector to curb emissions. Cases of smelters, lead plants, or mines that are not up to environmental standards being closed are commonplace.

Partial Table of Contents:

BMI Industry View

SWOT

Industry Forecast

- Bauxite - Table: Table: China - Largest Bauxite Projects - Table: Table: China - Bauxite Mine Production And Growth - Nickel - Table: Table: China - Largest Nickel Projects - Table: Table: China - Nickel Mine Production And Growth - Tin - Table: Table: China - Largest Tin Projects - Table: Table: China - Tin Mine Production And Growth - Zinc - Table: Table: China - Zinc Production And Growth - Copper - Table: Table: China - Largest Copper Projects - Table: Table: China - Copper Production And Growth - Coal - Table: Table: China - Largest Coal Projects - Table: Table: China - Coal Production Forecasts And Growth - Gold - Table: Table: China - Largest Gold Projects - Table: Table: China - Gold Production - Iron Ore - Table: Table: China - Largest Iron Ore Projects- Table: Table: China - Iron Ore Production

Industry Risk Reward Ratings

- Table: Asia Mining Risk/Reward Ratings

Market Overview

- Table: Table: China - Mining Industry Value And Production Forecasts

Regulatory Development

Commodities Forecast

- Iron Ore: Holding Up, For Now - Steel: Bleak Outlook - Aluminium: Major Gains Over - Copper: Global Stockpiles Pose Downside Risk - Lead: Heading Lower - Nickel: No Return To 2012 Highs - Tin: Continued Outperformance - Zinc: Bounce Is Coming To An End - Table: BMI Commodity Price Strategy- Table: Select Commodities: Performance & BMI Forecasts

Competitive Landscape

- Table: China - Largest Listed Mining Companies

Company Profile

- Shandong Gold - Table: Table: Shandong Gold - Key Financial Data - Jiangxi Copper - Table: Table: Jiangxi Copper - Key Financial Data - China Shenhua Energy

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